Latest forecasts have predicted that if a snap election was called, all of Oxfordshire’s Tory seats would be taken by Labour.

Calls for a snap election - an election brought earlier than what has been scheduled – have increased in recent days after Prime Minister Liz Truss sacked ally Kwasi Kwarteng as chancellor just 38 days into the job.

Three Conservative MPs, Crispin Blunt, Andrew Bridgen and Jamie Wallis, have all called for the PM to go, with opposition figures also urging that it is time for an election.

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If a snap election was called, latest figures show Conservative seats across Oxfordshire are in danger of being won by Labour.

The data is sourced from political forecasting web site Electoral Calculus, which attempts to predict future election results.

Electoral Calculus makes use of modern mathematical and statistical techniques to estimate outcomes and has previously predicted several election results.

However, the website is not a perfect science and only makes use of national issues, opposed to local ones.

The data shows that Oxford’s two constituency’s would be held by their current parties – Labour and the Lib Dems.

However, across the wider county all of the seats are anticipated to be taken by Labour.

The largest predicted majority would be Banbury, where a 18.1 per cent gain by Labour is forecast.

The smallest in Henley, with just a 1.6 per cent gain by Labour thought to be a possibility.


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This story was written by Sophie Perry. She joined the team in 2021 as a digital reporter.

You can get in touch with her by emailing:

Follow her on Twitter @itssophieperry

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